Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.839766 2.986183 3.140053 3.314503 3.507662 3.716005 3.959095
2025-04-20 2.602024 2.802529 3.023050 3.286010 3.594379 3.948932 4.394167
2025-04-27 2.430658 2.669700 2.942768 3.282982 3.703352 4.217268 4.913078
2025-05-04 2.317448 2.590861 2.914302 3.334536 3.881623 4.595126 5.646765
2025-05-11 2.198460 2.493611 2.853028 3.337087 3.997343 4.912406 6.381835
2025-05-18 2.082437 2.389936 2.773434 3.305901 4.062558 5.171669 7.110267
2025-05-25 1.950281 2.256296 2.644275 3.194659 4.000374 5.232443 7.537826
2025-06-01 1.856737 2.165675 2.564028 3.141950 4.015357 5.415197 8.253724
2025-06-08 1.782196 2.094817 2.504454 3.111832 4.059328 5.653573 9.187377
2025-06-15 1.727322 2.046304 2.471232 3.115788 4.156092 6.004311 10.567366
2025-06-22 1.655228 1.970653 2.395285 3.048953 4.128011 6.118029 11.439580
2025-06-29 1.578839 1.885628 2.301408 2.947542 4.029964 6.076686 11.867617
2025-07-06 1.501619 1.800475 2.208922 2.851327 3.948025 6.090955 12.647893
2025-07-13 1.463832 1.768117 2.190614 2.870511 4.074778 6.589958 15.765905
2025-07-20 1.431047 1.741126 2.178505 2.898922 4.225142 7.206899 20.889090
2025-07-27 1.409730 1.729143 2.187748 2.963580 4.458743 8.149750 32.701516
2025-08-03 1.378644 1.701520 2.171475 2.983386 4.607393 8.956446 54.552447
2025-08-10 1.342344 1.664585 2.138576 2.971012 4.686554 9.610711 103.938576
2025-08-17 1.292898 1.606397 2.069540 2.888513 4.597832 9.656705 155.972013
2025-08-24 1.256712 1.566409 2.027199 2.851260 4.607981 10.089419 735.163347
2025-08-31 1.226557 1.534170 1.995462 2.830856 4.654972 10.715368 NaN
2025-09-07 1.204014 1.512354 1.979169 2.837742 4.769872 11.749267 NaN
2025-09-14 1.170662 1.473086 1.932802 2.783925 4.724580 12.007825 NaN